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About two thirds of the gap for Black applicants remains after a like-for-like comparison

About two thirds of the gap for Black applicants remains after a like-for-like comparison
Approval gap against joint applicants, in percentage points
Raw gap12.4 pts
Same income, loan size and debt8.2 pts
Note: Controls are income, how much of the home's value is being borrowed, debt measured against income, what the loan is for, and whether it is a first or a second mortgage. Run on a 200,000-row stratified sample. The remaining gap is unexplained variation, not proof of discrimination.
Source: public HMDA filings, 2023 to 2025. hmda-audit analysis.
Patrick Taylor
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